EA’s forecasts have been both remarkably accurate and entirely off base in recent years. We are revisiting the past decade to see how events have unfolded.
By
Eddie Makuch
on
Super Bowl LIX is set to take place this Sunday, February 9, featuring a matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles competing for the championship title. EA Sports traditionally simulates the Big Game and announces the results, and this trend continued in 2025 with EA’s simulation forecasting the Eagles will prevail over the Chiefs with a score of 23-21. The simulation also indicated that Eagles QB would be named Super Bowl LIX MVP.
Here are additional forecasts from EA’s Madden simulation of Super Bowl LIX, as detailed by EA:
- Final Score and MVP: The Eagles narrowly defeated the Chiefs 23-21 in a tightly contested game that came down to the last drive. Eagles QB Jalen Hurts was awarded Super Bowl LIX MVP.
- Early Game Dynamics: The Eagles started strong with Saquon Barkley showcasing his exceptional juking skills to score the opening touchdown. The Chiefs responded with a touchdown pass from Patrick Mahomes to Travis Kelce, but an interception by CJ Gardner-Johnson helped keep the game close.
- Second Half Turnaround: After trailing 14-10 at halftime, the Eagles regained the lead in the third quarter with a touchdown pass from Hurts to A.J. Brown. A crucial defensive stand by the Eagles’ line, particularly Jalen Carter, prevented the Chiefs from scoring on a fourth-down attempt.
- Clutch Moments: In the fourth quarter, Mahomes led a drive for a Chiefs touchdown, but the Eagles countered with a field goal to regain the lead. The game concluded dramatically with the Chiefs’ final drive ending in a missed field goal, securing the Eagles’ victory.
If you disagree with this prediction or simply want to create your own, you can download Madden NFL 25 on Game Pass today and simulate the game yourself.
EA’s previous predictions have often been strikingly correct, such as in 2015 when the simulation accurately forecasted the Patriots’ comeback win against the Seattle Seahawks—including the final score and the exact type of pass play that clinched it. It was eerie. However, EA is not always that accurate with its forecasts; sometimes, the simulation gets it very, very wrong.
With the Super Bowl capturing attention throughout the sports world this week, we are reflecting on EA Sports’ Madden Super Bowl simulations and predictions from the past decade. As you will see, EA’s track record for predicting the winner has been mixed.
EA started strong by accurately predicting Super Bowl winners four consecutive years, from Super Bowl 38 to Super Bowl 41. However, since then, the simulation has never been right for more than two consecutive years, but it also hasn’t been wrong for more than two straight years.
What does all of this mean? Reviewing the past ten years, EA has successfully predicted the Super Bowl winner about 50% of the time, which is quite impressive.
Off the field, companies are spending up to $8 million for 30-second commercials on Fox, which is broadcasting the game this year. This year, viewers can expect a variety of ads about AI.
Here is an overview of EA’s Madden Super Bowl simulations over the past years, examining what was predicted versus what actually occurred.